Sanders' win ain't really a win cuz reasons. Warren should just drop out now. Mayo Pete has got this wrapped up. Amy is our backup plan if Mayo goes bad. Joe who?
The more I hear pundits talking smack about Sanders, the more I want him to win. I don’t know who black people are gonna vote for. I only know two black people and I know that one of them doesn’t like Sanders. So based on that, I think I’m enough of an expert to claim that black people aren’t gonna vote Sanders.
My expert take is that with this many people in the campaign, including the billionaires, changes in the polls are largely, but not entirely, random, and no one knows shit.
Horn tootin' time! I can't play it as fast as the guy in the video, but I can play a mostly mistake-free version of St. James Infirmary pretty consistently now. A few weeks ago, it didn't even sound like a song when I tried to play it. I think I may be ready to start bumbling my way through the next lesson.
What do you think the chances are that the Dems fuck this up again? I'm thinking pretty high.
Its entirely possible that the DNC will do everything they can to sabotage Sanders, pissing off the progressive wing so bad that they decide to sit this one out. But then again, President Shit-fer-brains is so deeply hated that even the Bernie Bros will probably vote for a turnip, as long as it's a democratic turnip. Which means that the DNC may take them for granted, like they did in 2016.
There, like a good pundit, I have hedged my bets, which means I sound smart and measured and I can't be wrong. Weeee!
About half of the US population that could vote don't bother to do so. In my opinion, the key to a dem victory is convincing a large number of these people to vote donkey. It seems to me they won't do that if they're offered the the same old shit. That's why I think Sanders, which is perceived as an outsider, has a better chance than the others.
There is only one scenario where I might get enraged enough not to vote for the Democratic nominee. That is Bloomberg.
I mean, while in general I'll vote for just about anyone against Trump, if the Dems counter the corrupt, racist, sexist, megalomaniacal billionaire Republican with a different corruot, racist, sexist megalomaniacal billionaire guy who was a Republican until recently... I might just opt to let the party destroy itself.
I have been convinced for some time that the only candidate who can win is Sanders and that even this is no easy sell without a downturn in the economy. The media has not pushed back at all on Trump's claims that America has never been more prosperous and consequently, Trump is more popular than he was than when he lucked into victory in 2016.
People don't abandon incumbents in less they believe there is a good reason to do so. I don't see people coming out in numbers significant enough to take Trump down unless the candidate is seen as equally anti-establishment. I just don't see people coming out in droves to vote for more center-right neoliberalism dressed up as culturally progressive. The Obama boat sailed.
Bloomberg is basically a nanny state Republican. Who exactly he appeals to is beyond me.
Biden...well, I would almost be surprised if he is still alive by the time of the election. He's toast.
Klobuchar is a non-starter. Terrible on a number of fronts and would never become president in a million years.
Warren's campaign has been a disaster but I have not written her off entirely. I fear the Reagan Republican turned Democrat is going to fuck Sanders right down to the wire. I am afraid she is too in love with capitalism to turn her delegates over to the socialist. She also sees a place for herself in the future of the DNC, whereas this is Sanders' last ride.
Buttigieg is a major liability. But I am hoping that his aspirations are dashed in the coming primaries. I worry about this McKinsey creep because Trump would absolutely wipe the floor with him. Not because Trump is smarter or more able politician (he is neither), but because he appeals to people's anger and because the media is giving him a pass on the economy. People are not in the mood for another center-right moderate like Obama promising luke-warm MOR neoliberalism with a dose of platitudinal rhetoric. This nonsense appeals only to the vapidest and depoliticized members of the Democratic choir. Everything 'moderate' about him that his supporters argue will make him appeal to 'centrists' will have absolutely no play outside of the DNC. Everything about him is wafer-thin and will be cut to shreds if he somehow manages to corner the nomination.
I mostly agree on Warren. There are two parts of running for president: being the kind of person who'd be a good president and being proficient enough at game theory to navigate the campaign. I'd give Warren an A at the former and a C- at the latter. I preferred her initially to Sanders, because I'd give him only a B- at the former. But it turns out he's an A at the latter.
Comments
Sanders' win ain't really a win cuz reasons.
Warren should just drop out now.
Mayo Pete has got this wrapped up.
Amy is our backup plan if Mayo goes bad.
Joe who?
Am I right? Or am I right?
And the pope is still catholic.
Weeee, look at me, I'm a pundit now!
5 + (-sqrt(1 – x^2 – (y-abs(x))^2)) * cos(30*((1 – x^2 – (y-abs(x))^2)))
The story of the Pale Blue Dot photo.
I love how they keep insisting we need a moderate who can appeal to undecided voters. You mean like Clinton, Kerry, or Gore?
In 2020, the US is so polarized you don't win by reaching out to the middle, you win by galvanising people and spurring high turnout.
There, like a good pundit, I have hedged my bets, which means I sound smart and measured and I can't be wrong. Weeee!
About half of the US population that could vote don't bother to do so. In my opinion, the key to a dem victory is convincing a large number of these people to vote donkey. It seems to me they won't do that if they're offered the the same old shit. That's why I think Sanders, which is perceived as an outsider, has a better chance than the others.
I mean, while in general I'll vote for just about anyone against Trump, if the Dems counter the corrupt, racist, sexist, megalomaniacal billionaire Republican with a different corruot, racist, sexist megalomaniacal billionaire guy who was a Republican until recently... I might just opt to let the party destroy itself.
People don't abandon incumbents in less they believe there is a good reason to do so. I don't see people coming out in numbers significant enough to take Trump down unless the candidate is seen as equally anti-establishment. I just don't see people coming out in droves to vote for more center-right neoliberalism dressed up as culturally progressive. The Obama boat sailed.
Bloomberg is basically a nanny state Republican. Who exactly he appeals to is beyond me.
Biden...well, I would almost be surprised if he is still alive by the time of the election. He's toast.
Klobuchar is a non-starter. Terrible on a number of fronts and would never become president in a million years.
Warren's campaign has been a disaster but I have not written her off entirely. I fear the Reagan Republican turned Democrat is going to fuck Sanders right down to the wire. I am afraid she is too in love with capitalism to turn her delegates over to the socialist. She also sees a place for herself in the future of the DNC, whereas this is Sanders' last ride.
Buttigieg is a major liability. But I am hoping that his aspirations are dashed in the coming primaries. I worry about this McKinsey creep because Trump would absolutely wipe the floor with him. Not because Trump is smarter or more able politician (he is neither), but because he appeals to people's anger and because the media is giving him a pass on the economy. People are not in the mood for another center-right moderate like Obama promising luke-warm MOR neoliberalism with a dose of platitudinal rhetoric. This nonsense appeals only to the vapidest and depoliticized members of the Democratic choir. Everything 'moderate' about him that his supporters argue will make him appeal to 'centrists' will have absolutely no play outside of the DNC. Everything about him is wafer-thin and will be cut to shreds if he somehow manages to corner the nomination.